Older people with economic difficulties and a low level of education more frequently refuse to be vaccinated against Covid-19 than individuals with a good income and higher level of education. These observations are the result of a pan-European study of people aged 50 years and older conducted by a Munich research team. According to the study, there is a high rate of vaccination uncertainty across most of the Eastern European and Baltic states in comparison to the West, South and North European regions.
Who are the people who do not want to be vaccinated against Covid-19 or are undecided about the vaccine, even though they are in the high-risk age group? In order to find out more about their demographic, socio-economic and health characteristics, a research team at the TUM Chair of Economics of Aging and the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy analyzed data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), regarded as the largest pan-European social science panel study. The second SHARE Corona survey, conducted from June until early August, collected data on 47,000 individuals in the high-risk 50+ age group across 27 European countries and Israel.
Around 18 % of the respondents reported that they have not been vaccinated. However, there was great variation across countries: Malta, Denmark and Spain were in the lead with over 95% of respondents vaccinated and Romania and Bulgaria trailing behind with about 28% and 21 % respectively. Germany was in the upper middle range, with a vaccination rate of 89 percent of respondents over 50 years of age.
Of the unvaccinated respondents from all countries, 33 % reported that they were still undecided, while 45% stated that they didn’t want to get vaccinated. This figure was 54 percent for Romania and 45 percent in Bulgaria. A similar share of the unvaccinated still did not want to be vaccinated in Latvia (46 percent) and Lithuania (43 percent). In Germany the share of vaccination refusers and unvaccinated individuals was also high at 50 percent. However, because of the significantly smaller number of unvaccinated, this figure is subject to a relatively high degree of uncertainty.
In a next step, the researchers considered the demographic, socio-economic and health situation of those respondents who were undecided or refused the vaccine. Here it turned out that the respondent’s economic situation had a visible impact. People within the lowest quartile of the income distribution more frequently did not want to be vaccinated or were undecided than those in the higher income quartiles. This finding was supported by the respondents’ subjective reports of how hard it is for them to "make ends meet": Nearly 30 % of people who stated that they could make ends meet only with great difficulties were undecided or refused vaccination, while it was only 7.8 % for those reporting to be able to make ends meet easily. This clear pattern was evident in almost all countries.
While the share of people who were undecided or refused vaccination was about 14.7 % among those with primary education, it was 16.1 % in the group with secondary education, but only around 9.2 % among individuals with post-secondary education. There was also a connection between employment status and vaccination willingness. The difference was greatest between unemployed respondents, of whom 28.5% were undecided or opposed to getting vaccinated, and retired respondents, of whom 11.5 % had opted out of or were still undecided about the vaccine. One explanation may be the age effect, which also played a role: Respondents between 50 and 65 years were more likely to refuse the vaccine than older respondents and this applied to nearly all countries.
Gender also had an impact. On average, 14.5 % of the women were undecided or refusing the vaccination, compared with 12.8 % among men. This difference was evident in most, but not all countries: In Hungary, Portugal and Switzerland for example, there were more males who were still undecided or didn’t want to get vaccinated.
Regarding health, respondents without a diagnosed physical illness had a higher probability of being undecided or unwilling to be vaccinated (16.9 %) compared to those with at least one diagnosed illness (12.4 %). This difference was strongest in Hungary, Lithuania, Luxembourg and Switzerland.
Further, the researchers found a difference between those people who stated that they didn’t know anyone physically affected by Covid-19 and those who did. Of those who did not know anyone affected, 14.7 % reported being undecided or unwilling to get vaccinated. The number was 13.7 % for people that knew somebody mildly affected and 10.3 % for those that knew somebody severely affected by Covid-19.
Bergmann, Michael; Hannemann, Tessa-Virginia; Bethmann, Arne; Schumacher, Alexander: "Determinants of SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations in the 50+ population" . MEA Discussion Paper 07-2021.
(The publication is a working paper, which has not yet been subject to the peer review process.)