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- Arts - Jul 19 Lesbian singer’s archive captures pre- internet gay life
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- History - Jul 12 The Water Poet on Wales in the wake of England’s Civil War
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- History - Jul 12 Syria between Destruction and Preservation
- History - Jul 11 Historian publishes first biography of the ‘most- wanted’ revolutionary in Tsarist Russia
- Literature - Jul 5 Peregrine fledgling takes its first plunge off Campanile
- History - Jun 29 New digital archive showcases historical images of Rome
- Literature - Jun 23 One young Republican’s pursuit of the ’Freedom to Marry’
- History - Jun 21 Intimate details of life as a Civil War soldier depicted in rare sketches
- Pedagogy - Jun 21 Examining mixed- race identity in literature
- Literature - Jun 15 Theatre and performance podcast from QMULâ? s Department of Drama
- Arts - Jun 15 Pianist found his path at Berkeley, returns to lead Ojai music fest
ANALYSIS: absentee Egyptian votes and this week’s Presidential elections
Solava Ibrahim, University of Manchester. She is a Research Fellow at the University’s Brooks World Poverty Institute.
Ibrahim analyses Egyptian votes from abroad - just in - which give an initial indication of how the Egyptian presidential elections will play out. Egyptians at home head to the polls on 23 and 24 of May.
Unsurprisingly, the Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohamed Morsy and the Salafi Party supported Abdul Moneim Abu el Fotouh got 37% and 27% respectively. This reflects the results of the Egyptian parliamentary elections, where the Muslim Brotherhood and the Salafis took almost 40% and 30% of the parliamentary vote respectively.
Egyptian voters living abroad are usually better educated and more well off than their counterparts at home – and so are not representative of Egyptian society as a whole. However, their votes are still indicative, especially those Egyptians living in Saudi Arabia, where the majority of them are workers.
If Mohamed Morsy wins, it will represent a paradox: the system which the revolution overthrew will be reinstated, as the President will be the head of a ruling party with a parliamentary majority.
If Abou El Fotouh wins, he will do his best to appease the different Egyptian factions who supported him- the Salafis, liberals and leftists. But as their political differences are so wide, he will struggle to achieve this and is likely to retreat to the Muslim Brotherhood rhetoric to which he originally belonged.
Whoever wins, Egypt’s next president will be backed by the Islamist Muslim-brotherhood and that might have internal implications for Egyptian politics. It might also affect the future of Egypt’s relations with the West.
The Muslim Brotherhood will face its most difficult test since their establishment in 1928 – as it will have real power. But in no time at all, it will become clear that their religious rhetoric alone is not enough to feed a hungry Egyptian public nor to find jobs for its frustrated youth.
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