Case for keeping rates low remains strong: Shadow RBA
With Australia's economy remaining fragile due to COVID-19, the official cash rate should remain on hold for now, according to The Australian National University's Shadow RBA Board. For a fifth month in a row, the Shadow Board's view on a possible change to the official cash rate remains the same. The Board is 94% confident that keeping interest rates at 0.25 per cent is the right policy. In contrast, the Board is six per cent confident that a final rate cut, to zero per cent, is appropriate. Shadow Board chair Dr Timo Henckel says while Australia appears to have weathered the COVID-19 crisis exceptionally well, the stage 4 restrictions in Victoria have put a dampener on this success. "It's clear the economy is still a long way from returning to normal," Dr Henckel said. "The official unemployment rate - a key factor - ticked up again in July, to 7.5 per cent, the highest jobless rate since October 2001.
