Analysis: how crime changes during a lockdown

Professor Nick Tilley (UCL Security and Crime Science) joint-authors an article discussing which types of crime are likely to decrease and which will increase during the Covid-19 lockdown. Life under lockdown is not only changing how people live, but also how crime occurs. The good news is that this fundamental change will see certain crimes decrease - some areas have already seen recorded crime drop by as much as 20%. But there are worrying signs that offences like domestic violence and online fraud are likely to surge and that new offences (like malicious coughing), are emerging too. Crime science and environmental criminology pays particular attention to crime opportunities and how they are affected by lifestyles, routine activities and particular goods and services. For example, a person who goes out more in the evening experiences more interpersonal crimes, like snatch-theft or an assault, while at the same time, their unguarded home is more vulnerable to burglary. Researchers have identified practical ways to prevent crime by reducing such opportunities.